LESSON 3 · Outsmart Your Own Biases
Recalibrating Your Risk Sense
Fighting the availability heuristic means deliberately replacing mental ease with actual data:
- Look up base rates before judging how likely something is
- Ask: "Do I fear this because it is common, or because it is vivid?"
- Remember that personal anecdotes carry emotional weight but little statistical value
- Limit news that overrepresents rare, dramatic events
- Assign rough percentages instead of saying "likely" or "unlikely"
Your brain did not evolve for a world of 24-hour news and viral feeds. Overriding this bias is not natural — it is a trained skill.