LESSON 4 · Think Like Sherlock
The Closed World Assumption
Logicians call this the closed world assumption — the belief that your list of possibilities covers everything. It works in limited domains:
- Math proofs — you can enumerate all cases in some problems
- Binary questions — "Did the switch flip or not?" has exactly two answers
- Card games — a finite deck means eliminated cards are truly eliminated
- Chess — all possible moves are known
But most real-world problems are open-world. Diseases you have never heard of exist. Motivations you cannot consider drive people's behavior. The universe is under no obligation to limit itself to possibilities you have considered.