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LESSON 1 · Outsmart Your Own Biases

The Dropout Mythology

Bill Gates, Mark Zuckerberg, and Steve Jobs all dropped out of college and became billionaires. Some people conclude that dropping out of college leads to success.

The dropout billionaires are survivors whose stories get told precisely because they are extraordinary. Studying only them is like studying only lottery winners to understand financial planning. Survivorship bias hides the base rate behind a few dazzling exceptions.